What’s Changed Since Our Last Report:
After an extraordinary summer that saw a campaign-altering debate performance, an assassination attempt, a last-minute switch at the top of the Democratic ticket, and two very different national conventions, the 2024 US election cycle is moving to its post-Labor Day phase.
Here’s what we know today:
Vice President Harris’ ascension to the top of the ticket has energized Democrats and fundamentally changed the narrative of the presidential campaign – what was beginning to look like a Trump win is once again a toss up.
The Harris campaign broken fundraising records, raising $540+ million since July 21 – with approximately one-third of contributions coming from first–time contributors.
The Harris/Walz ticket has also generated excitement with large public events, challenging (and at times exceeding) what has been a Trump campaign strength.
With Harris at the top of the ticket, North Carolina’s 16 electoral votes are now in play, expanding the number of swing states from six to seven.
Harris is now leading Trump by approximately 3-4 points nationally and is ahead, tied, or within the margin of error in all seven swing states.
Robert Kennedy Jr dropped out of the presidential race and endorsed former President Trump. Despite dropping out, RFK’s name will remain on the ballot in several states where ballots have already been printed.
Given the number of states now in play, Harris now has more paths to 270 electoral votes. Previously, President Biden had a very narrow path to victory.
The Harris and Trump campaigns continue to bicker over the rules for a debate scheduled for September 10 on ABC – it is unclear at this time if the debate will happen.