Inspired by FGS Global’s Alternative Futures framework, Axios published a series helping businesses prepare and plan for each of 4 potential outcomes of the 2024 US Presidential election.
Behind the Curtain — Election scenario 1: War-gaming a Trump sweep
If former President Trump wins the election, and Republicans keep the House and flip the Senate, the U.S. would witness a dramatic consolidation of new right-wing populist power at scale.
Behind the Curtain — Election scenario 2: Harris sweep
If Vice President Kamala Harris wins the election and Democrats flip the House and keep the Senate, the U.S. would witness a powerful resurgence of progressive policymaking across virtually every sector.
Behind the Curtain — Election scenario 3: Trump with Dem restraint
If former President Trump wins the election but Democrats control the House, Washington plunges into an epic power struggle and gridlock.
Behind the Curtain — Election scenario 4: Harris with handcuffs
If Vice President Kamala Harris takes the White House but not Congress, Washington would face much of the same gridlock and dysfunction it does today — except with an ambitious new president facing off against an oppositional but decapitated GOP.