Insight: Since late August, mass demonstrations have filled the streets in Indonesia, sparked by revelations of excessive pay and MP housing allowances that are nearly 10x Jakarta's minimum wage. Fresh rallies erupted following cuts to public services, and the death of a 21-year-old motorcycle rideshare driver at the hands of riot police during clashes in the capital. What began as a primarily student-led protest movement over inequality and corruption has escalated to some of the most serious unrest since the Reformasi era, with public buildings damaged, politicians' homes looted, and over 1,200 arrests nationwide. President Prabowo Subianto is scrambling to contain the crisis: rolling back MPs’ perks, pledging investigations, but simultaneously ordering a military crackdown that has drawn international criticism.
Impact: The unrest triggered a sell-off in Indonesian assets. The rupiah slumped to 16,509/USD on August 29 before recovering slightly after the central bank intervened with FX swaps and bond purchases. In Jakarta alone, damage to infrastructure and public buildings is estimated at IDR55 billion (USD3.3m). Beneath the immediate volatility lies a deeper fault line: youth unemployment at 16%, among the highest in Asia, and widening inequality that has fuelled resentment toward entrenched elites. Unless structural issues are addressed, symbolic concessions may do little to calm discontent. Investors will be looking closely for signals of fiscal stability and a credible reform agenda. The risk is that Indonesia’s fragile balance tips further toward escalating confrontation, raising the question of whether Prabowo can restore order without sparking a cycle of repression that recalls Indonesia’s more turbulent past.