Sixteen states and one territory hold primary elections today, but it doesn’t really matter. November is already set to be a Biden-Trump rematch. So why is Nikki Haley continuing the fight?
Even if some Americans and even prominent columnists hold out fantasies for alternatives to the unpopular current and former presidents, Joe Biden and Donald Trump are now the only realistic major party choices. Trump will likely officially cinch the nomination a couple weeks from now, but it’s merely a formality.
Haley undoubtedly knows this and has always known her 2024 run was a long shot. But she has reasons beyond any path to the nomination for continuing at least through today’s Super Tuesday contests.
And no, it’s not to be Trump’s vice president – something neither Trump or Haley would be likely to agree to after their unexpectedly fierce primary battle. Nor has she helped any future White House ambitions. Her poor showing against Trump in D.C. last weekend—her only victory so far—does not exactly put her in a position of strength going forward. And her negatives continue to go up among Republicans as she refuses to drop out.
But here are some other possibilities that keep her running:
1. Nominee in waiting. Campaigns can change overnight. With months and many Trump court cases to go before the election, Haley’s persistence sets her up as a potential emergency backup.
2. Staying in as the last candidate standing against Trump continues to drive up her name recognition nationwide. And a higher profile can be an asset for any number of future ambitions.
3. She’s got plenty of dough. She raised $12 million last month alone, including from some Biden donors interested in seeing her keep up the GOP fight. And if she’s got it, why not spend it?
For more insights, see our Super Tuesday election deck here.